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Central Bank Digital Currencies: Friend or Foe?

Central Bank Digital Currencies: Friend or Foe?

09/30/2025
Matheus Moraes
Central Bank Digital Currencies: Friend or Foe?

In an age where technology redefines almost every aspect of life, the emergence of Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) marks a turning point for global finance. Governments and monetary authorities are weighing the promise of efficiency, inclusion, and resilience against risks that could reshape the financial landscape. From the Bahamas to Beijing and Brussels, every experiment offers lessons that illuminate the stakes. This article delves into the essence of CBDCs, explores real-world deployments, and asks whether these digital currencies are a powerful ally or a formidable challenge in the evolving monetary ecosystem.

Understanding CBDCs: Types and Structures

At its core, a Central Bank Digital Currency is a digital liabilities of a central bank, fully backed by state-issued money and denominated in the national unit of account. Unlike private cryptocurrencies, CBDCs would operate under the direct auspices of monetary authorities, combining public trust with digital convenience.

  • Retail CBDCs: Designed for everyday use by individuals and businesses, these function much like electronic banknotes.
  • Wholesale CBDCs: Limited to financial institutions, enabling faster, cheaper, and potentially 24/7 settlement of high-value interbank transactions.

The Global CBDC Landscape in 2025

As of 2025, between 114 and 137 countries are investigating CBDCs, covering nearly 98% of global GDP. Four nations—the Bahamas, Jamaica, Nigeria, and Zimbabwe—have fully launched retail CBDCs: the Sand Dollar (2020), e-Naira (2021), JAM-DEX, and ZiG, respectively. Another forty-plus jurisdictions are running active pilot programs, while approximately thirty are in advanced development. Meanwhile, policymakers in about thirty-six countries remain in the research phase, and twenty-one projects are temporarily inactive, with two cancelled, including the United States’ federal-level retail CBDC initiative.

Major economies present a varied picture. In the US, a 2025 executive order prohibits federal work on retail CBDCs, shifting focus to stablecoin regulation. China leads the largest pilot with its digital yuan, experimenting across dozens of cities. The European Central Bank is deep into its digital euro preparation, emphasizing privacy and cross-border interoperability through extensive trials.

The Case for CBDCs: A Friend to Financial Systems

Proponents argue that CBDCs could usher in a new era of security and privacy controls by design. Because they are direct claims on central banks, CBDCs carry no credit or liquidity risk. Instant settlement could reduce fees, eliminate intermediaries, and streamline cross-border payments.

  • Payment System Efficiency: Enables near-instant settlements, cutting down legacy delays.
  • Financial Inclusion: Offers unbanked populations digital access, potentially reducing poverty traps.
  • Programmability: Automates welfare disbursements, disaster relief, and conditional transfers.

Case studies underscore these benefits. The Bahamas’ Sand Dollar improved disaster resilience by enabling remote, offline transactions in flood-affected islands. Nigeria’s e-Naira pilot extended basic financial services to rural communities, though uptake highlights the need for robust digital literacy efforts. Those deployments illustrate how CBDCs can become enhanced financial inclusion and social welfare tools when thoughtfully implemented.

The Case Against CBDCs: Potential Pitfalls

Despite the promise, critics warn of significant downsides. The potential for extensive digital traceability could allow intrusive surveillance if strong privacy safeguards are not embedded. The risk of cybersecurity breaches at the core of a national currency raises existential concerns about trust and financial stability.

  • Privacy: Risk of real-time monitoring of purchases and personal data collection.
  • Disintermediation: Individuals might park funds directly with central banks, threatening commercial banks’ deposit bases and lending capacity.
  • Cybersecurity Risks: A successful attack could undermine public confidence in the entire monetary system.

Monetary policy transmission also poses a challenge. While CBDCs could facilitate negative interest rates or direct stimulus, sudden mass migration to digital central bank accounts might destabilize funding models that underpin private lending. Political resistance is evident, as seen in the US ban, revealing ideological divides over the balance between innovation and individual privacy.

Operational complexity adds another layer of concern. Designing for managing interoperability with existing payment systems requires extensive coordination across domestic and international platforms. Offline transaction capabilities, compliance with anti-money-laundering protocols, and data protection standards all must align seamlessly to avoid fragmentation. Lessons learned today will guide tomorrow’s digital monetary networks and global financial architecture.

Designing the Future: Balancing Innovation and Risk

The path forward demands striking a delicate balance. Policymakers and technologists must collaborate on core design choices: account-based versus token-based models, privacy thresholds, and the scope of programmability. Implementing a tiered approach—offering anonymity for small-value transactions while enforcing traceability for high-value transfers—can mitigate surveillance concerns and preserve law enforcement capabilities.

International coordination is equally vital. Cross-border payment experiments, like those conducted by the Bank for International Settlements, suggest that global frameworks and technical standards will be essential to prevent fragmentation and ensure interoperability. Robust governance structures, transparent oversight mechanisms, and public consultations will foster trust and guide sustainable adoption.

Conclusion: Navigating a Digital Monetary Frontier

Central Bank Digital Currencies are neither inherently friend nor foe but powerful tools whose impact hinges on careful design, inclusive governance, and robust safeguards. By championing resilience against operational and cyber risks and embedding privacy by design, CBDCs can become catalysts for innovation, inclusion, and monetary sovereignty. Yet the road ahead is fraught with technical, regulatory, and societal challenges that demand transparent dialogue and international collaboration.

Ultimately, the success of CBDCs will depend on striking the right blend of trust, efficiency, and accessibility. As central banks navigate this digital frontier, their choices will shape the future of money and influence economic outcomes for generations to come. Stakeholder engagement, clear legal frameworks, and adaptive technologies will determine whether CBDCs become a legacy of empowerment or a code of constraints.

Matheus Moraes

About the Author: Matheus Moraes

Matheus Moraes